2021 COLA: A Raise Likely for Social Security Recipients After All Relax , looks like an increase is coming for 2021 Social Security checks . Inflation has been on a roller coaster in 2020 . Summer rebounds in those commodities , as well as increases for in-demand items like used cars , meat and haircuts , have put the consumer price index back on a more normal trajectory , one that will likely mean an increase in the Cost of Living Adjustment for 2021 . The Kiplinger Letter is now forecasting a 1 . 2% increase in the 2021 COLA , which should be welcome news to retirees and others who receive Social Security benefits . The Social Security Administration is required by law to prevent inflation from eroding the buying power of the benefits paid out to nearly 69 million Americans . It uses a Social Security COLA formula based on the consumer price index to adjust payouts every January . Note that the Social Security Administration ties its adjustment for S...